Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
58%
Middlesbrough are the model's pick at 41%, ahead of Burnley's 32% home win and a 27% draw. Their higher overall rating and stronger recent results support that, but 41% still leaves plenty of room for an upset. The goals markets are close to even, with over 2.5 at 53%.
Burnley
Strong
Middlesbrough
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ | 9 | +5 | 18 | |
| 2▼ | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 3▲ | 9 | +3 | 16 | |
| 4▼ | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 5▼ | 8 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6▼ | 8 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7▲ | 9 | +1 | 14 | |
| 8▼ | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 9▼ | 8 | -1 | 13 | |
| 10▲ | 9 | +1 | 12 | |
| 11▲ | 9 | +1 | 12 | |
| 12▼ | 8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 13▼ | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | -3 | 11 | |
| 15▼ | 9 | -4 | 11 | |
| 16▼ | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 17▼ | 9 | -6 | 10 | |
| 18▼ | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 19 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 20 | 9 | -7 | 8 | |
| 21 | 9 | -3 | 7 | |
| 22▲ | 9 | -4 | 7 | |
| 23▼ | 9 | -7 | 6 | |
| 24▼ | 9 | -8 | 4 |
3
Burnley
5
Draws
2
Middlesbrough