Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
55%
The model makes Burnley slight favourites at 40%, against 32% for Bristol City and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.43 and 1.25, leaving over 2.5 at a near even 50%. It is a lean, not a certainty.
Burnley
Strong
Bristol City
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | +2 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | -1 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 8 | -4 | 10 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 18 | 8 | -2 | 9 | |
| 19 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 20 | 8 | -3 | 8 | |
| 21 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
8
Burnley
1
Draws
1
Bristol City