Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz prediction, German Bundesliga
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
78.9%
xG
2.1 – 1.2
Over 2.5
64%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →
Bayer LeverkusenWWWDW
MainzLWLWDMatch analysis
Model generatedBayer Leverkusen favoured at 57%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.09 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.22 for Mainz, giving 57% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.09 - 1.22
- Clean sheet chance: Bayer Leverkusen 30%, Mainz 12%
Match result
1X2Bayer Leverkusen56.7%
Draw22.2%
Mainz21.1%
Model rating
All ratings →7.1
Bayer Leverkusen
Strong
5.7
Mainz
Above average
Bayer LeverkusenLast 10 gamesMainz2.00Points per game1.40
2.4Goals scored per game2.2
1.4Goals conceded per game1.9
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets30%
0%Failed to score10%
Recent results
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 4 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 |  Augsburg | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mainz | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Elversberg | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Paderborn | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Köln | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Hoffenheim | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Stuttgart | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Hamburg | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Draws
2
Mainz
- 28 Feb 26Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mainz
- 18 Oct 25Mainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- 17 May 25Mainz 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen
- 14 Jan 25Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Mainz
- 23 Feb 24Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz