Parma vs Cagliari prediction, Italian Serie A
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
63.6%
xG
1.0 – 1.1
Over 2.5
36%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
ParmaLWLDL
CagliariWWWLLMatch analysis
EnhancedCagliari favoured at 39%; under 2.5 goals the stronger read
The model makes Cagliari the most likely winner at 39%, with Parma at 33% and a draw at 29%. Expected goals are 1.02 for Parma and 1.13 for Cagliari. Under 2.5 goals sits at 64%, well above the 52% norm in this competition, so it is the model's strongest selection.
Match result
1X2Parma32.8%
Draw28.7%
Cagliari38.6%
Model rating
All ratings →4.5
Parma
Average
5.5
Cagliari
Above average
ParmaLast 10 gamesCagliari1.00Points per game2.10
0.7Goals scored per game1.1
1.3Goals conceded per game0.8
30%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets40%
50%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Parma
4
Draws
5
Cagliari
- 22 Aug 26Parma 0-1 Cagliari
- 27 Feb 26Parma 1-1 Cagliari
- 13 Sept 25Cagliari 2-0 Parma
- 9 Feb 25Cagliari 2-1 Parma
- 30 Sept 24Parma 2-3 Cagliari