Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
50%
Genoa and Fiorentina both sit at 37% to win, with a draw at 26%, so the model sees no clear favourite. Expected goals are almost identical, 1.25 for Genoa and 1.24 for Fiorentina. Over 2.5 goals is 45%, so the goals markets offer little edge either way.
Genoa
Average
Fiorentina
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +11 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 | 5 | +6 | 11 | |
| 6▲ | 5 | +4 | 10 | |
| 7▼ | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | -2 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 5 | -3 | 2 | |
| 19 | 5 | -7 | 1 | |
| 20 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
0
Genoa
5
Draws
5
Fiorentina