Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
51%
The model gives Israel a 40% chance of winning at home, versus 31% for Albania and 29% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.34 for Israel and 1.14 for Albania, and 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14%. Under 2.5 goals sits at 55%, just ahead of over at 45%.
Israel
Average
Albania
Above average
5
Israel
0
Draws
2
Albania