Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5
41%
Both score
45%
The model's strongest pick is Albania or draw at 80%, well above the 72% norm for this competition. Albania win 51% on their own, and Luxembourg's weak attack meets Albania's 39th-best defence. Over 2.5 goals sits at 41%, so a tighter game is the model's expectation.
Albania
Above average
Luxembourg
Average
4
Albania
1
Draws
3
Luxembourg