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Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 1Full time

Bulgaria

1-2

Sat, 26 Sept

Luxembourg

Model's read
1 48%X 28%2 24%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

75.6%

xG

1.5 – 1.0

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →
BulgariaWLDLD
LuxembourgLLLWW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Bulgaria home or draw is the model's strongest read

The model's best selection is Home or Draw (1X) at 76%, against a 69% norm for this competition. That gap matters more than the raw number. Bulgaria are rated 85th to Luxembourg's 130th, but the 48% home win is a closer call.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Bulgaria v Luxembourg

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Bulgaria47.9%
Draw27.7%
Luxembourg24.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.1

Bulgaria

Average

4.9

Luxembourg

Average

BulgariaLast 10 gamesLuxembourg
1.40Points per game1.20
1.8Goals scored per game0.8
1.3Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored10%
30%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score60%

Recent results

BulgariaWLDLD
  • 6 OctALuxembourg2-0
  • 3 OctAIceland0-3
  • 29 SeptHEstonia0-0
  • 26 SeptHLuxembourg1-2
  • 5 JunAMoldova2-2
  • 1 JunHMontenegro0-1
LuxembourgLLLWW
  • 6 OctHBulgaria0-2
  • 3 OctAEstonia0-1
  • 29 SeptHIceland0-3
  • 26 SeptABulgaria2-1
  • 6 JunAAlbania1-0
  • 3 JunHItaly0-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

6

Bulgaria

3

Draws

1

Luxembourg

  • 6 Oct 26Luxembourg 0-2 Bulgaria
  • 26 Sept 26Bulgaria 1-2 Luxembourg
  • 15 Nov 24Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
  • 12 Oct 24Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
  • 20 Nov 22Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria
Every meeting between these two →