Luxembourg vs Bulgaria prediction, UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League · Round 4Full time
Luxembourg
0-2
Bulgaria
Model's readStade de Luxembourg
1 38%X 29%2 33%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
74.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
LuxembourgLLLWW
BulgariaWLDLDMatch analysis
EnhancedLuxembourg edge a close one; under 3.5 goals is the stronger lean
Luxembourg are slight favourites at 38% to win, against 33% for Bulgaria and 29% for a draw. The model rates Bulgaria higher overall, so this is a close call, not a clear pick. The strongest number is Under 3.5 goals at 75%, with about 2.5 goals expected in total.
Match result
1X2Luxembourg38.3%
Draw28.9%
Bulgaria32.8%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Luxembourg
Average
5.1
Bulgaria
Average
LuxembourgLast 10 gamesBulgaria1.20Points per game1.40
0.8Goals scored per game1.8
1.0Goals conceded per game1.3
30%Over 2.5 goals50%
10%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets30%
60%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Luxembourg
3
Draws
6
Bulgaria
- 6 Oct 26Luxembourg 0-2 Bulgaria
- 26 Sept 26Bulgaria 1-2 Luxembourg
- 15 Nov 24Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
- 12 Oct 24Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
- 20 Nov 22Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria