Barcelona vs Valencia prediction, Spanish La Liga
Our pick Strong
Home Win
78.4%
xG
2.6 – 0.7
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →
BarcelonaWWWWW
ValenciaLWLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedBarcelona favoured at 78%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.65 goals for Barcelona and 0.71 for Valencia, giving 78% for the home win, 14% for the draw and 7% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 12%
- Expected goals: 2.65 - 0.71
- Clean sheet chance: Barcelona 49%, Valencia 7%
Match result
1X2Barcelona78.4%
Draw14.1%
Valencia7.5%
Model rating
All ratings →9.6
Barcelona
Elite
4.9
Valencia
Average
BarcelonaLast 10 gamesValencia2.70Points per game1.10
4.0Goals scored per game1.2
1.1Goals conceded per game1.8
90%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Spanish La Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés | 7 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo de A Coruña | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Bilbao | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Osasuna | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing de Santander | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 8 | -9 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings8
Barcelona
1
Draws
1
Valencia
- 6 Sept 26Valencia 0-5 Barcelona
- 23 May 26Valencia 3-1 Barcelona
- 14 Sept 25Barcelona 6-0 Valencia
- 26 Jan 25Barcelona 7-1 Valencia
- 17 Aug 24Valencia 1-2 Barcelona