Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
51%
The model makes Israel slight favourites: 40% to win, against 31% for Albania and 29% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.34 for Israel and 1.14 for Albania. Under 2.5 goals sits at 55%, so a tight, lower-scoring game is the slightly more likely shape.
Israel
Average
Albania
Above average
5
Israel
0
Draws
2
Albania