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Sudan vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations · Round 6Full time

Sudan

1-4

Fri, 22 Mar

Equatorial Guinea

Model's read
1 32%X 33%2 35%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

67.6%

xG

1.0 – 1.0

Over 2.5

31%

Both score

39%

Form

Full stats →
SudanLLWLL
Equatorial GuineaLDWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Equatorial Guinea favoured at 35%, in a tight game

The model projects 0.95 goals for Sudan and 0.99 for Equatorial Guinea, giving 32% for the home win, 33% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 15%
  • Expected goals: 0.95 - 0.99
  • Clean sheet chance: Sudan 37%, Equatorial Guinea 39%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Sudan v Equatorial Guinea

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Sudan32.4%
Draw33.0%
Equatorial Guinea34.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.8

Sudan

Average

5.5

Equatorial Guinea

Above average

SudanLast 10 gamesEquatorial Guinea
0.50Points per game1.10
0.3Goals scored per game0.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.1
20%Over 2.5 goals20%
20%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets30%
70%Failed to score30%

Recent results

SudanLLWLL
  • 3 JanASenegal1-3
  • 31 DecHBurkina Faso0-2
  • 28 DecAEquatorial Guinea1-0
  • 24 DecAAlgeria0-3
  • 14 NovAOman0-2
  • 14 OctADR Congo0-1
Equatorial GuineaLDWWL
  • 9 JunHComoros0-1
  • 31 MarHMadagascar1-1
  • 25 MarAKyrgyzstan1-0
  • 25 MarHKyrgyzstan1-0
  • 31 DecHAlgeria1-3
  • 28 DecHSudan0-1

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

1

Sudan

0

Draws

2

Equatorial Guinea

  • 28 Dec 25Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Sudan
  • 22 Mar 19Sudan 1-4 Equatorial Guinea
  • 8 Sept 18Equatorial Guinea 1-0 Sudan
Every meeting between these two →