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Senegal vs Sudan prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations · Round 3Full time

Senegal

3-0

Sat, 13 Oct

Sudan

Model's read
1 60%X 25%2 15%

Our pick ★ Strong

Under 3.5 Goals

76.7%

xG

1.7 – 0.7

Over 2.5

44%

Both score

44%

Form

Full stats →
SenegalWLWLL
SudanLLWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Senegal favoured at 60%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.71 goals for Senegal and 0.74 for Sudan, giving 60% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.71 - 0.74
  • Clean sheet chance: Senegal 48%, Sudan 18%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Senegal v Sudan

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Senegal60.0%
Draw24.8%
Sudan15.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.0

Senegal

Above average

4.8

Sudan

Average

SenegalLast 10 gamesSudan
1.30Points per game0.50
1.8Goals scored per game0.3
1.6Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored20%
40%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score70%

Recent results

SenegalWLWLL
  • 4 OctAComoros1-0
  • 1 JulABelgium2-3
  • 26 JunHIraq5-0
  • 22 JunANorway2-3
  • 16 JunAFrance1-3
  • 9 JunASaudi Arabia0-0
SudanLLWLL
  • 3 JanASenegal1-3
  • 31 DecHBurkina Faso0-2
  • 28 DecAEquatorial Guinea1-0
  • 24 DecAAlgeria0-3
  • 14 NovAOman0-2
  • 14 OctADR Congo0-1

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

5

Senegal

1

Draws

0

Sudan

  • 3 Jan 26Senegal 3-1 Sudan
  • 5 Sept 25Senegal 2-0 Sudan
  • 22 Mar 25Sudan 0-0 Senegal
  • 16 Oct 18Sudan 0-1 Senegal
  • 13 Oct 18Senegal 3-0 Sudan
Every meeting between these two →