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Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations · Round 2Full time

Equatorial Guinea

1-0

Sat, 8 Sept

Sudan

Model's read
1 35%X 33%2 32%

Our pick

Under 2.5 Goals

69.3%

xG

1.0 – 1.0

Over 2.5

31%

Both score

39%

Form

Full stats →
Equatorial GuineaLDWWL
SudanLLWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Equatorial Guinea favoured at 35%, in a tight game

The model projects 0.99 goals for Equatorial Guinea and 0.95 for Sudan, giving 35% for the home win, 33% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 15%
  • Expected goals: 0.99 - 0.95
  • Clean sheet chance: Equatorial Guinea 39%, Sudan 37%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Equatorial Guinea v Sudan

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Equatorial Guinea34.5%
Draw33.0%
Sudan32.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.5

Equatorial Guinea

Above average

4.8

Sudan

Average

Equatorial GuineaLast 10 gamesSudan
1.10Points per game0.50
0.7Goals scored per game0.3
1.1Goals conceded per game1.5
20%Over 2.5 goals20%
40%Both teams scored20%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score70%

Recent results

Equatorial GuineaLDWWL
  • 9 JunHComoros0-1
  • 31 MarHMadagascar1-1
  • 25 MarAKyrgyzstan1-0
  • 25 MarHKyrgyzstan1-0
  • 31 DecHAlgeria1-3
  • 28 DecHSudan0-1
SudanLLWLL
  • 3 JanASenegal1-3
  • 31 DecHBurkina Faso0-2
  • 28 DecAEquatorial Guinea1-0
  • 24 DecAAlgeria0-3
  • 14 NovAOman0-2
  • 14 OctADR Congo0-1

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

2

Equatorial Guinea

0

Draws

1

Sudan

  • 28 Dec 25Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Sudan
  • 22 Mar 19Sudan 1-4 Equatorial Guinea
  • 8 Sept 18Equatorial Guinea 1-0 Sudan
Every meeting between these two →