Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama prediction, Brazilian Série A
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.1%
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
GrêmioDDLLL
Vasco da GamaDWWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedGrêmio favoured at 44%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.48 goals for Grêmio and 1.17 for Vasco da Gama, giving 44% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.48 - 1.17
- Clean sheet chance: Grêmio 31%, Vasco da Gama 23%
Match result
1X2Grêmio43.5%
Draw27.4%
Vasco da Gama29.0%
Model rating
All ratings →4.7
Grêmio
Average
5.1
Vasco da Gama
Average
GrêmioLast 10 gamesVasco da Gama0.90Points per game1.50
1.0Goals scored per game1.4
1.4Goals conceded per game1.2
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Brazilian Série A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo86′ 1-0 | 29 | +33 | 63 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras90′ 4-0 | 29 | +30 | 60 |
| 3 |  Athletico Paranaense | 28 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense86′ 0-1 | 29 | +7 | 48 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |  Atlético Mineiro | 27 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Bragantino | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitória | 28 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians90′ 0-4 | 29 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio86′ 1-1 | 29 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 |  Internacional86′ 1-1 | 29 | -6 | 29 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 27 | -24 | 18 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 3 games in play
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.