Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
50%
The model projects 1.08 goals for Bahia and 1.33 for Palmeiras, giving 30% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Bahia
Above average
Palmeiras
Elite
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | +32 | 60 | |
| 2 | 28 | +26 | 57 | |
| 3 | 28 | +11 | 49 | |
| 4 | 28 | +8 | 48 | |
| 5 | 28 | +8 | 46 | |
| 6 | 28 | +2 | 45 | |
| 7 | 27 | +4 | 40 | |
| 8 | 27 | +1 | 38 | |
| 9 | 28 | -6 | 38 | |
| 10 | 27 | +2 | 36 | |
| 11 | 27 | +2 | 36 | |
| 12 | 28 | -4 | 35 | |
| 13 | 28 | -14 | 33 | |
| 14 | 28 | -3 | 32 | |
| 15 | 28 | -9 | 32 | |
| 16 | 27 | -7 | 31 | |
| 17 | 28 | -8 | 29 | |
| 18 | 28 | -6 | 28 | |
| 19 | 28 | -15 | 23 | |
| 20 | 27 | -24 | 18 |
3
Bahia
1
Draws
6
Palmeiras