Palmeiras vs Grêmio Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Home Win

67.5%

xG

1.9 – 0.6

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

41%

Form

Full stats →

PalmeirasWDWDD

GrêmioDDLLL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Palmeiras home win: 67% model chance, the strongest read

The model makes Palmeiras the clear favourite, with a 67% home win against a 48% norm for this competition. That gap is the strongest signal here. Grêmio's attack runs into the best defence in the sample, and the goals markets sit near even.

Match result

1X2

Palmeiras67.5%

Draw21.8%

Grêmio10.7%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.9

Palmeiras

Elite

4.7

Grêmio

Average

PalmeirasLast 10 games

Grêmio

1.60Points per game0.90

1.5Goals scored per game1.0

0.7Goals conceded per game1.4

40%Over 2.5 goals50%

40%Both teams scored60%

60%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score40%

Recent results

PalmeirasWDWDD

GrêmioDDLLL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18