Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.8%

xG

1.8 – 1.0

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

52%

Form

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Atlético MadridWWWWL

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Atlético Madrid favoured at 56%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.78 goals for Atlético Madrid and 0.97 for Athletic Bilbao, giving 56% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.78 - 0.97
Clean sheet chance: Atlético Madrid 38%, Athletic Bilbao 17%

Match result

1X2

Atlético Madrid56.1%

Draw23.7%

Athletic Bilbao20.2%

Model rating

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—

Atlético Madrid

Not rated yet

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

Atlético MadridLast 10 games

Athletic Bilbao

1.90Points per game1.00

2.0Goals scored per game1.0

1.5Goals conceded per game1.3

90%Over 2.5 goals30%

60%Both teams scored40%

30%Clean sheets40%

10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Atlético MadridWWWWL

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	+1	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Getafe	7	-3	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4