Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
70.0%
xG
1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
63%
Form
Full stats →
HeerenveenLWDLD
AZ AlkmaarLWLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedAZ Alkmaar favoured at 44%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.40 goals for Heerenveen and 1.72 for AZ Alkmaar, giving 30% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 44% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.40 - 1.72
- Clean sheet chance: Heerenveen 18%, AZ Alkmaar 25%
Match result
1X2Heerenveen30.0%
Draw26.2%
AZ Alkmaar43.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.8
Heerenveen
Above average
7.2
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
HeerenveenLast 10 gamesAZ Alkmaar1.00Points per game2.00
1.3Goals scored per game2.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.2
50%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 2▼ | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12▲ |  Utrecht66′ 1-1 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 13▼ |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14▼ |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 15▼ |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17▲ |  Willem II66′ 1-1 | 8 | -14 | 3 |
| 18▼ |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Heerenveen
2
Draws
6
AZ Alkmaar
- 6 Sept 26Heerenveen 2-3 AZ Alkmaar
- 12 Apr 26AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heerenveen
- 23 Nov 25Heerenveen 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
- 2 Mar 25Heerenveen 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
- 14 Sept 24AZ Alkmaar 9-1 Heerenveen