Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, German Bundesliga
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
75.2%
xG
1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
65%
Form
Full stats →
MainzLWLWD
Bayer LeverkusenWWWDWMatch analysis
Model generatedBayer Leverkusen favoured at 38%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.59 goals for Mainz and 1.62 for Bayer Leverkusen, giving 37% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 38% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.59 - 1.62
- Clean sheet chance: Mainz 20%, Bayer Leverkusen 20%
Match result
1X2Mainz37.0%
Draw24.8%
Bayer Leverkusen38.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Mainz
Above average
7.1
Bayer Leverkusen
Strong
MainzLast 10 gamesBayer Leverkusen1.40Points per game2.00
2.2Goals scored per game2.4
1.9Goals conceded per game1.4
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 4 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 |  Augsburg | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mainz | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Elversberg | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Paderborn | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Köln | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Hoffenheim | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Stuttgart | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Hamburg | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Mainz
2
Draws
6
Bayer Leverkusen
- 28 Feb 26Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mainz
- 18 Oct 25Mainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- 17 May 25Mainz 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen
- 14 Jan 25Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Mainz
- 23 Feb 24Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz