Inter Milan vs Cagliari Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick

Home Win

65.9%

xG

2.1 – 0.9

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

51%

Form

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Inter MilanWDWLW

CagliariWWWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Inter Milan favoured at 66%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.09 goals for Inter Milan and 0.87 for Cagliari, giving 66% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
Expected goals: 2.09 - 0.87
Clean sheet chance: Inter Milan 42%, Cagliari 12%

Match result

1X2

Inter Milan65.9%

Draw19.3%

Cagliari14.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.9

Inter Milan

Elite

5.5

Cagliari

Above average

Inter MilanLast 10 games

Cagliari

2.10Points per game2.10

2.5Goals scored per game1.1

1.4Goals conceded per game0.8

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

70%Both teams scored40%

30%Clean sheets40%

0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Inter MilanWDWLW

CagliariWWWLL

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Inter Milan	6	+10	16
2▲	Lazio53′ 2-1	6	+6	16
3▼	Roma	5	+11	13
4	Cagliari	5	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	+6	11
6	Napoli	6	+4	10
7	Juventus	5	+4	10
8	Como	5	+3	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo	5	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	-2	6
12	Lecce50′ 0-1	6	-6	6
13▲	Bologna50′ 1-0	6	-2	5
14▼	Udinese	5	-3	4
15▼	Torino	5	-3	4
16▼	Monza53′ 1-2	6	-5	4
17▼	Genoa	6	-6	4
18▼	Parma	6	-6	4
19▼	Fiorentina	6	-7	4
20	Venezia	5	-9	0