Tunisia vs Mali prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
70.7%
xG
1.0 – 1.2
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
45%
Form
Full stats →
TunisiaLLLLL
MaliLDLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedMali favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.99 goals for Tunisia and 1.21 for Mali, giving 29% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 0.99 - 1.21
- Clean sheet chance: Tunisia 30%, Mali 37%
Match result
1X2Tunisia29.3%
Draw30.5%
Mali40.2%
Model rating
All ratings →4.3
Tunisia
Average
5.6
Mali
Above average
TunisiaLast 10 gamesMali0.60Points per game1.20
0.7Goals scored per game1.0
2.3Goals conceded per game0.9
50%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Tunisia
4
Draws
2
Mali
- 3 Jan 26Mali 1-1 Tunisia
- 20 Jan 24Tunisia 1-1 Mali
- 29 Mar 22Tunisia 0-0 Mali
- 25 Mar 22Mali 0-1 Tunisia
- 12 Jan 22Tunisia 0-1 Mali