Mali vs Tunisia prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
62.3%
xG
1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
45%
Form
Full stats →
MaliLDLDD
TunisiaLLLLLMatch analysis
EnhancedUnder 2.5 goals is the model's strongest read
The model rates under 2.5 goals at 62%, well above the 55% norm for this competition, so that is the call. Expected goals are 1.21 for Mali and 0.99 for Tunisia, a total of 2.20. Both sides have failed to score in 4 of their last 6.
Match result
1X2Mali40.2%
Draw30.5%
Tunisia29.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.6
Mali
Above average
4.3
Tunisia
Average
MaliLast 10 gamesTunisia1.20Points per game0.60
1.0Goals scored per game0.7
0.9Goals conceded per game2.3
20%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Mali
4
Draws
4
Tunisia
- 3 Jan 26Mali 1-1 Tunisia
- 20 Jan 24Tunisia 1-1 Mali
- 29 Mar 22Tunisia 0-0 Mali
- 25 Mar 22Mali 0-1 Tunisia
- 12 Jan 22Tunisia 0-1 Mali