Morocco vs Mali prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
64.8%
xG
1.5 – 0.7
Over 2.5
35%
Both score
38%
Form
Full stats →
MoroccoLWDWW
MaliLDLDDMatch analysis
EnhancedMorocco favoured at 56%; Under 2.5 is the stronger read
Morocco are the favourites at 56% for the win, with the model giving Mali 16%. The strongest selection is Under 2.5 goals at 65%, well above the 55% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 1.45 for Morocco and 0.66 for Mali.
Match result
1X2Morocco55.7%
Draw28.2%
Mali16.1%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
Morocco
Above average
5.6
Mali
Above average
MoroccoLast 10 gamesMali2.10Points per game1.20
2.2Goals scored per game1.0
0.8Goals conceded per game0.9
50%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Morocco
3
Draws
4
Mali
- 26 Dec 25Morocco 1-1 Mali
- 5 Sept 17Mali 0-0 Morocco
- 1 Sept 17Morocco 6-0 Mali
- 28 May 06Morocco 0-1 Mali
- 28 May 04Mali 0-0 Morocco