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Netherlands vs Serbia prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European ChampionshipFull time

Netherlands

6-1

Sun, 25 Jun

Serbia

Model's readRotterdam
1 60%X 24%2 16%

Our pick ★ Strong

Over 1.5 Goals

77.4%

xG

1.9 – 0.9

Over 2.5

53%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →
NetherlandsWDWDD
SerbiaLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Netherlands favoured at 60%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.88 goals for Netherlands and 0.90 for Serbia, giving 60% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.88 - 0.90
  • Clean sheet chance: Netherlands 41%, Serbia 15%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Netherlands v Serbia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Netherlands59.6%
Draw23.9%
Serbia16.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.1

Netherlands

Above average

5.0

Serbia

Average

NetherlandsLast 10 gamesSerbia
1.90Points per game0.60
2.0Goals scored per game0.8
1.2Goals conceded per game2.3
70%Over 2.5 goals80%
90%Both teams scored60%
0%Clean sheets0%
10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

NetherlandsWDWDD
  • 4 OctHSerbia2-1
  • 1 OctAGreece2-2
  • 27 SeptASerbia2-1
  • 24 SeptHGermany1-1
  • 29 JunHMorocco1-1
  • 25 JunATunisia3-1
SerbiaLLLLL
  • 4 OctANetherlands1-2
  • 1 OctAGermany0-2
  • 27 SeptHNetherlands1-2
  • 24 SeptHGreece1-2
  • 4 JunAMexico1-5
  • 31 MayACape Verde0-3

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

5

Netherlands

0

Draws

0

Serbia

  • 4 Oct 26Netherlands 2-1 Serbia
  • 27 Sept 26Serbia 1-2 Netherlands
  • 11 Jun 06Serbia 0-1 Netherlands
  • 25 Jun 00Netherlands 6-1 Serbia
  • 29 Jun 98Netherlands 2-1 Serbia
Every meeting between these two →