Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
64%
The model projects 1.43 goals for Romania and 1.75 for Sweden, giving 31% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 44% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Romania
Average
Sweden
Above average
1
Romania
2
Draws
4
Sweden