Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.8
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
59%
The model projects 1.19 goals for Mozambique and 1.78 for Nigeria, giving 25% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 50% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Mozambique
Average
Nigeria
Above average
0
Mozambique
1
Draws
5
Nigeria