Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
58%
The model's strongest call is Away or Draw at 78%, well above the 54% norm for this competition. Slovakia are the stronger side on the numbers, with 1.84 expected goals against Moldova's 1.13 and an away win at 53%. Treat this as a probability, not a sure thing.
Moldova
Average
Slovakia
Above average
0
Moldova
0
Draws
4
Slovakia