Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
53%
The model makes Slovakia clear favourites, with a 57% chance of a home win against Malta's 19%. Expected goals are 1.82 for Slovakia and 0.96 for Malta. Over 2.5 and both teams to score each sit at 53%, close to a coin flip, so the goals markets offer little edge.
Slovakia
Above average
Malta
Average
8
Slovakia
2
Draws
0
Malta