Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
57%
The model gives Armenia a 51% chance to win, with a 25% draw and 24% away win. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals at 80%, against a 72% norm in this competition, so that gap is the clearer read. Treat these as probabilities, not guarantees.
Armenia
Average
Moldova
Average
0
Armenia
4
Draws
1
Moldova