Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
56%
The model makes Armenia the most likely winner at 40%, with a draw at 28% and Kazakhstan at 32%. Expected goals are 1.45 for Armenia and 1.27 for Kazakhstan. Over 2.5 goals is close to a coin flip at 51%, so the edge is thin.
Armenia
Average
Kazakhstan
Average
5
Armenia
2
Draws
1
Kazakhstan