Equatorial Guinea vs São Tomé and Príncipe prediction, International Friendlies
International FriendliesFull time
Equatorial Guinea
3-1
São Tomé and Príncipe
Model's readMalabo
1 50%X 28%2 23%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
77.3%
xG
1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
Equatorial GuineaLDWWLSão Tomé and PríncipeDWLLL
Match analysis
Model generatedEquatorial Guinea favoured at 50%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.53 goals for Equatorial Guinea and 0.96 for São Tomé and Príncipe, giving 50% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.53 - 0.96
- Clean sheet chance: Equatorial Guinea 38%, São Tomé and Príncipe 22%
Match result
1X2Equatorial Guinea49.7%
Draw27.7%
São Tomé and Príncipe22.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
5.3
São Tomé and Príncipe
Average
Equatorial GuineaLast 10 gamesSão Tomé and Príncipe1.10Points per game0.40
0.7Goals scored per game0.5
1.1Goals conceded per game2.6
20%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings3
Equatorial Guinea
0
Draws
0
São Tomé and Príncipe
- 4 Sept 25São Tomé and Príncipe 2-3 Equatorial Guinea
- 21 Mar 25Equatorial Guinea 2-0 São Tomé and Príncipe
- 12 Nov 03Equatorial Guinea 3-1 São Tomé and Príncipe