São Tomé and Príncipe vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 7Full time
São Tomé and Príncipe
2-3
Equatorial Guinea
Model's readOujda
1 37%X 29%2 34%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
78.6%
xG
1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →São Tomé and PríncipeDWLLL
Equatorial GuineaLDWWLMatch analysis
EnhancedSão Tomé narrow favourites at 37%, but no clear edge
The model makes São Tomé and Príncipe narrow favourites at 37%, with Equatorial Guinea on 34% and a draw on 29%. Expected goals are 1.22 and 1.15, so a close, low-scoring game fits best, with 1-1 the most likely score at 14%. The model's strongest selection is Under 3.5 goals at 79%.
Match result
1X2São Tomé and Príncipe36.9%
Draw29.5%
Equatorial Guinea33.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
São Tomé and Príncipe
Average
5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
São Tomé and PríncipeLast 10 gamesEquatorial Guinea
Equatorial Guinea0.40Points per game1.10
0.5Goals scored per game0.7
2.6Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals20%
30%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets30%
60%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings0
São Tomé and Príncipe
0
Draws
3
Equatorial Guinea
- 4 Sept 25São Tomé and Príncipe 2-3 Equatorial Guinea
- 21 Mar 25Equatorial Guinea 2-0 São Tomé and Príncipe
- 12 Nov 03Equatorial Guinea 3-1 São Tomé and Príncipe