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Mozambique vs Gabon prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAFFull time

Mozambique

1-1

Sun, 17 Jan

Gabon

Model's readMaputo
1 42%X 25%2 32%

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

74.8%

xG

1.6 – 1.4

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

62%

Form

Full stats →
MozambiqueLLLLW
GabonDLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Mozambique favoured at 42%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.64 goals for Mozambique and 1.41 for Gabon, giving 42% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.64 - 1.41
  • Clean sheet chance: Mozambique 24%, Gabon 19%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mozambique v Gabon

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mozambique42.3%
Draw25.2%
Gabon32.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.9

Mozambique

Average

5.3

Gabon

Average

MozambiqueLast 10 gamesGabon
0.80Points per game1.10
1.0Goals scored per game1.8
1.9Goals conceded per game1.9
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score20%

Recent results

MozambiqueLLLLW
  • 9 JunAIndonesia0-1
  • 7 JunAOman1-4
  • 5 JanANigeria0-4
  • 31 DecHCameroon1-2
  • 28 DecAGabon3-2
  • 24 DecAIvory Coast0-1
GabonDLLLL
  • 30 MarATrinidad and Tobago2-2
  • 27 MarAUzbekistan1-3
  • 31 DecHIvory Coast2-3
  • 28 DecHMozambique2-3
  • 24 DecACameroon0-1
  • 13 NovANigeria1-4

Head to head

Last 7 meetings

3

Mozambique

1

Draws

3

Gabon

  • 28 Dec 25Gabon 2-3 Mozambique
  • 14 Nov 15Gabon 1-0 Mozambique
  • 11 Nov 15Mozambique 1-0 Gabon
  • 6 Jan 10Gabon 2-0 Mozambique
  • 11 Jan 96Mozambique 1-0 Gabon
Every meeting between these two →