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Montenegro vs Bulgaria prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying

UEFA European Championship QualifyingFull time

Montenegro

2-1

Sun, 10 Sept

Bulgaria

Model's readPodgorica
1 49%X 25%2 25%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

74.6%

xG

1.8 – 1.2

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →
MontenegroDWWWD
BulgariaWLDLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Montenegro favoured at 49%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.76 goals for Montenegro and 1.21 for Bulgaria, giving 49% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.76 - 1.21
  • Clean sheet chance: Montenegro 30%, Bulgaria 17%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Montenegro v Bulgaria

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Montenegro49.1%
Draw25.4%
Bulgaria25.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.5

Montenegro

Above average

5.1

Bulgaria

Average

MontenegroLast 10 gamesBulgaria
2.00Points per game1.40
1.8Goals scored per game1.8
1.3Goals conceded per game1.3
70%Over 2.5 goals50%
70%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

MontenegroDWWWD
  • 5 OctHArmenia0-0
  • 2 OctALatvia2-1
  • 28 SeptAArmenia3-2
  • 25 SeptHCyprus2-1
  • 5 JunASlovakia2-2
  • 1 JunABulgaria1-0
BulgariaWLDLD
  • 6 OctALuxembourg2-0
  • 3 OctAIceland0-3
  • 29 SeptHEstonia0-0
  • 26 SeptHLuxembourg1-2
  • 5 JunAMoldova2-2
  • 1 JunHMontenegro0-1

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

4

Montenegro

4

Draws

1

Bulgaria

  • 1 Jun 26Bulgaria 0-1 Montenegro
  • 10 Sept 23Montenegro 2-1 Bulgaria
  • 24 Mar 23Bulgaria 0-1 Montenegro
  • 11 Oct 19Montenegro 0-0 Bulgaria
  • 22 Mar 19Bulgaria 1-1 Montenegro
Every meeting between these two →