Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
57%
The model's strongest pick is Home or Draw at 79%, above the 72% norm for this competition. Kazakhstan are projected at 1.87 goals to Moldova's 1.08, so the home side is the favourite. Even 79% can miss, so treat this as a lean, not a sure thing.
Kazakhstan
Average
Moldova
Average
3
Kazakhstan
1
Draws
4
Moldova