Ethiopia vs Malawi prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
76.9%
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
EthiopiaDWLWL
MalawiLDLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedEthiopia favoured at 46%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.43 goals for Ethiopia and 1.02 for Malawi, giving 46% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.43 - 1.02
- Clean sheet chance: Ethiopia 36%, Malawi 24%
Match result
1X2Ethiopia45.8%
Draw28.1%
Malawi26.0%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Ethiopia
Above average
4.9
Malawi
Average
EthiopiaLast 10 gamesMalawi1.60Points per game1.20
1.4Goals scored per game1.0
1.3Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
50%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Ethiopia
5
Draws
3
Malawi
- 9 Jun 26Ethiopia 1-1 Malawi
- 6 Jun 26Ethiopia 1-0 Malawi
- 20 Jun 23Ethiopia 0-0 Malawi
- 5 Jun 22Malawi 2-1 Ethiopia
- 17 Mar 21Ethiopia 4-0 Malawi