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Ukraine vs Poland prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European ChampionshipFull time

Ukraine

0-1

Tue, 21 Jun

Poland

Model's readMarseille
1 29%X 29%2 42%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

71.0%

xG

1.1 – 1.4

Over 2.5

44%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →
UkraineLLDWL
PolandLWLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Poland favoured at 42%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.09 goals for Ukraine and 1.36 for Poland, giving 29% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.09 - 1.36
  • Clean sheet chance: Ukraine 26%, Poland 34%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Ukraine v Poland

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Ukraine29.0%
Draw29.3%
Poland41.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.2

Ukraine

Average

5.0

Poland

Average

UkraineLast 10 gamesPoland
1.30Points per game1.20
0.9Goals scored per game1.7
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
30%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

UkraineLLDWL
  • 5 OctHHungary1-2
  • 2 OctHNN.Ireland0-3
  • 28 SeptAGeorgia0-0
  • 25 SeptAHungary1-0
  • 7 JunADenmark1-2
  • 31 MayAPoland2-0
PolandLWLDD
  • 5 OctABosnia-Herzegovina0-1
  • 2 OctHRomania6-0
  • 28 SeptASweden1-3
  • 25 SeptHBosnia-Herzegovina0-0
  • 3 JunHNigeria2-2
  • 31 MayHUkraine0-2

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

4

Ukraine

2

Draws

4

Poland

  • 31 May 26Poland 0-2 Ukraine
  • 7 Jun 24Poland 3-1 Ukraine
  • 11 Nov 20Poland 2-0 Ukraine
  • 21 Jun 16Ukraine 0-1 Poland
  • 11 Oct 13Ukraine 1-0 Poland
Every meeting between these two →