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Mozambique vs Nigeria prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAFFull time

Mozambique

0-0

Sun, 29 Mar

Nigeria

Model's readMaputo
1 23%X 24%2 53%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

76.7%

xG

1.2 – 1.9

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →
MozambiqueLLLLW
NigeriaDLDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Nigeria favoured at 53%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.17 goals for Mozambique and 1.86 for Nigeria, giving 23% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 53% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.17 - 1.86
  • Clean sheet chance: Mozambique 16%, Nigeria 31%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mozambique v Nigeria

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mozambique23.3%
Draw23.9%
Nigeria52.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.9

Mozambique

Average

5.9

Nigeria

Above average

MozambiqueLast 10 gamesNigeria
0.80Points per game1.50
1.0Goals scored per game1.5
1.9Goals conceded per game1.0
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets50%
40%Failed to score30%

Recent results

MozambiqueLLLLW
  • 9 JunAIndonesia0-1
  • 7 JunAOman1-4
  • 5 JanANigeria0-4
  • 31 DecHCameroon1-2
  • 28 DecAGabon3-2
  • 24 DecAIvory Coast0-1
NigeriaDLDWW
  • 6 OctARussia3-3
  • 10 JunAPortugal1-2
  • 3 JunAPoland2-2
  • 30 MayAJamaica3-0
  • 26 MayHZimbabwe2-0
  • 31 MarAJordan2-2

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

0

Mozambique

1

Draws

5

Nigeria

  • 5 Jan 26Nigeria 4-0 Mozambique
  • 16 Oct 23Mozambique 2-3 Nigeria
  • 20 Jan 10Nigeria 3-0 Mozambique
  • 11 Oct 09Nigeria 1-0 Mozambique
  • 29 Mar 09Mozambique 0-0 Nigeria
Every meeting between these two →