Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
45%
The model makes Colombia the favourites, with a 61% chance of a home win against 24% for a draw and 14% for a Peru win. Expected goals are 1.79 for Colombia and 0.75 for Peru. Colombia's defence rates 5th best in the sample, against Peru's 65th weakest attack.
Colombia
Above average
Peru
Average
5
Colombia
3
Draws
2
Peru