Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
45%
The model projects 1.33 goals for Colombia and 0.90 for Paraguay, giving 46% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Colombia
Above average
Paraguay
Above average
5
Colombia
3
Draws
2
Paraguay