Our pick
Away Win
xG
0.8 – 1.8
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
49%
The model projects 0.85 goals for Zambia and 1.83 for Morocco, giving 16% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 60% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Zambia
Average
Morocco
Above average
1
Zambia
1
Draws
8
Morocco