Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
52%
The model projects 1.16 goals for Brazil and 1.39 for Morocco, giving 30% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Brazil
Above average
Morocco
Above average
2
Brazil
1
Draws
1
Morocco