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Romania vs Sweden prediction, FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup · Quarter-finalsFull time

Romania

1-1

Sun, 10 Jul

Sweden

Model's readPalo Alto
1 23%X 25%2 52%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

77.2%

xG

1.1 – 1.8

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

57%

Form

Full stats →
RomaniaLLLLW
SwedenWDWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Sweden favoured at 52%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.12 goals for Romania and 1.78 for Sweden, giving 23% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 52% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.12 - 1.78
  • Clean sheet chance: Romania 17%, Sweden 33%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Romania v Sweden

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Romania22.8%
Draw25.0%
Sweden52.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.2

Romania

Average

6.6

Sweden

Above average

RomaniaLast 10 gamesSweden
0.70Points per game1.50
1.4Goals scored per game1.7
2.2Goals conceded per game1.8
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored80%
0%Clean sheets10%
40%Failed to score10%

Recent results

RomaniaLLLLW
  • 5 OctHSweden0-1
  • 2 OctAPoland0-6
  • 28 SeptHBosnia-Herzegovina2-4
  • 25 SeptASweden1-2
  • 6 JunHWales2-1
  • 2 JunAGeorgia1-1
SwedenWDWWL
  • 5 OctARomania1-0
  • 2 OctABosnia-Herzegovina1-1
  • 28 SeptHPoland3-1
  • 25 SeptHRomania2-1
  • 30 JunAFrance0-3
  • 25 JunAJapan1-1

Head to head

Last 7 meetings

1

Romania

2

Draws

4

Sweden

  • 5 Oct 26Romania 0-1 Sweden
  • 25 Sept 26Sweden 2-1 Romania
  • 15 Nov 19Romania 0-2 Sweden
  • 23 Mar 19Sweden 2-1 Romania
  • 27 Mar 18Romania 1-0 Sweden
Every meeting between these two →