Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
56%
The model projects 2.39 goals for Benfica and 0.96 for Celtic, giving 69% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | +4 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | +4 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | +3 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 12 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 15 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 22 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 25 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 27 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1 | -3 | 0 | |
| 33 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
1
Benfica
1
Draws
0
Celtic