
Porto
3-1

Benfica
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
55%
Porto are the model's pick at 41%, against 34% for Benfica and 25% for a draw. Expected goals of 1.45 and 1.29 point to a tight game, and the model rates Benfica higher overall. A 41% chance still means Porto fail to win more often than not.
Porto
Elite
Benfica
Elite
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +15 | 21 | |
| 2 | 7 | +15 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | +9 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | +2 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | 7 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -6 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | 4 | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -13 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | -7 | 2 |
4
Porto
2
Draws
4
Benfica