Our pick
Away Win
xG
0.8 – 2.0
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
47%
The model gives Porto a 66% chance of the away win, against a 31% norm for this competition, which is the strongest read here. Expected goals are 0.79 for Marítimo and 1.98 for Porto, and Porto's defence has kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6. Goals markets sit close to 50-50, so there is little edge there.
Marítimo
Average
Porto
Elite
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +15 | 21 | |
| 2 | 7 | +15 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | +9 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | +2 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | 7 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -6 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | 4 | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -13 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | -7 | 2 |
3
Marítimo
1
Draws
3
Porto