
Porto
0-2

Manchester City
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
The model makes Porto the pick at 46%, with a draw at 25% and Manchester City at 29%. The strongest read is Under 3.5 goals at 72%, well above the 66% norm for this competition. Expected goals total 2.69, so the over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score markets sit close to even.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | +4 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | +4 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | +3 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 9 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 12 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 15 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 22 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 25 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 27 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1 | -3 | 0 | |
| 33 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
0
Porto
1
Draws
2
Manchester City