
Manchester City
5-3

Sunderland
Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
52%
Manchester City are the model's strongest pick at 62% for a home win, against a 42% norm for this competition. Their expected 1.99 goals against Sunderland's 0.90 drives that edge. Still, a 23% draw chance means it is not a lock.
Manchester City
Elite
Sunderland
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +8 | 15 | |
| 2 | 5 | +4 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | +11 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | +4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 7 | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 8 | 5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | 5 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 13 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 14 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -2 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | -9 | 3 | |
| 19 | 5 | -3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
8
Manchester City
2
Draws
0
Sunderland