Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
54%
The model gives Germany a 60% chance of winning, with 1.96 expected goals against Finland's 0.97. Its strongest selection is Over 1.5 Goals at 80%, above the 75% norm for this competition. That gap, not the raw figure, is why it ranks first.
Germany
Above average
Finland
Average
4
Germany
5
Draws
0
Finland